The table visualizes the variability of the Top 20 teams in the SAVAGE rating system. The bars represent the bounds on the teams performance 68% of the time (1 standard deviation). South Carolina’s variability is extreme with the high end of their bounds exceeding everyone except Alabama while their low end drops them to 14th. Note that both SMU and USC loose to an average team on the low end of their bounds.
Considering this weekend’s Tennessee vs Georgia game, the analysis implies that it is up to Georgia to perform since Tennessee has been very consistent (UGA 65% chance of winning).
Sorting by the upper bounds drops down Indiana and Tennessee while brining Iowa and BYU into the top 20.
Sorting by the lower bounds brings Ohio State to number 1. The lower bounds, also, drops LSU and South Carolina out of the top12 with Texas A&M and Louisville replacing them, and Army and Colorado appear in the top 20.
| SAVAGE Ranking | |||
| Mean | Upper | Lower | |
| ALABAMA | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| OHIO-STATE | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| TEXAS | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| INDIANA | 4 | 8 | 5 |
| MISSISSIPPI | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| NOTRE-DAME | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| OREGON | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| SOUTH-CAROLINA | 8 | 2 | 14 |
| MIAMI-FL | 9 | 10 | 10 |
| PENN-STATE | 10 | 11 | 8 |
| GEORGIA | 11 | 7 | 15 |
| LSU | 12 | 12 | 13 |
| TENNESSEE | 13 | 18 | 9 |
| LOUISVILLE | 14 | 16 | 12 |
| TEXAS-AM | 15 | 21 | 11 |
| BOISE-STATE | 16 | 13 | 18 |
| TULANE | 17 | 19 | 16 |
| SMU | 18 | 14 | 21 |
| USC | 19 | 15 | 22 |
| IOWA-STATE | 20 | 22 | 19 |
| IOWA | 21 | 17 | 24 |
| BYU | 25 | 20 | 31 |
| Army | 22 | 35 | 17 |
| Colorado | 23 | 31 | 20 |